Stocks do not usually go straight up. They zigzag.
One of the simplest ways I judge whether a stock is still in a healthy uptrend is to look at those zigzags and ask whether the highs are getting higher and the lows are getting higher too.
A stock rallies, pulls back and finds a floor. If that floor is higher than the previous one, I pay attention. If the next move then takes out the previous high, I have a higher low and a higher high. Put enough of those together and the stock is showing me an upward structure.
I can draw a rough channel through those highs and lows. I still do not know where the final top will be, but I have something much more useful than an arbitrary price target: a structure I can follow.
I can trade the swings inside that channel, or I can enter the trend and stay with it while the structure remains intact. Which approach I use depends on the stock, timeframe and what I am trying to accomplish.
The important part is that I do not fall in love with the trend. Eventually it changes. If the stock stops making higher lows and breaks through the rising support structure, that is information. I would rather respond to that than keep holding because I decided the stock should keep going.
The opposite can happen too. A stock can break above the top of its channel and accelerate. If I catch that move, great. I still know parabolic moves do not last forever, so I keep watching the structure rather than trying to predict the exact top.
That is what I like about trend trading. I do not need to know the final destination. I need to recognize when the market is still moving in my direction and when it is no longer doing that.
For more, read Support & Resistance, Trade What the Stock Is Doing, and the cornerstone How I Think About Trading.
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This article is part of my Trading & Markets authority series. Continue with Capital Markets hub, Getting Shaken Out Is Better Than Getting Blown Out: How I Think About Stop Losses, Plan the Trade Before You Enter It and You Can Always Buy It Back: One of the Best Trading Lessons I Learned.
This article reflects my personal trading approach and is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice.





